US 10-year Treasury Intrerest Rate rises above 4.5%! New bond king: won't buy BTC before Trump takes office

After the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates by one yard today, hawkish signals were released, and the dot plot showed that the number of Slump by 50% next year to only 2 remained, causing the US Treasury yield Intrerest Rate to climb sharply, and the 10-year Treasury yield Intrerest Rate rose above 4.5%, hitting a 7-month high. (Synopsis: BTCprice drops $100,000, Etherfang lost $3650, Bauer: The Fed is not allowed to hold BTC) (Background supplement: Stock currency double kill!) The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by only 2 yards next year, Tesla plunged 8% U.S. stocks plunged) The US Federal Reserve announced the Intrerest Rate decision at 3 a.m. today (19), cutting interest rates by 1 yard as expected, reducing the BenchmarkIntrerest Rate to 4.25%~4.5%, which is also the third consecutive rate cut since the 2-yard rate cut was launched in September. However, the latest dot plot shows that the number of interest rate cuts in 2025 has changed from 4 waist folds in September to the current "2 times", and the median long-term federal fund Intrerest Rate has been raised to 3%, coupled with Fed Chairman Powell's hawkish signal after the meeting that inflation stickiness still exists, and will "cut interest rates more cautiously", pouring cold water on investors, making the US stock market take a Nosedive market at the end of the day, BTCfall broke $100,000. The 10-year U.S. bond yield Intrerest rate hit a 7-month high At the same time, it triggered a big dump in the price of U.S. bonds, and the U.S. bond yield Intrerest rate rose sharply, and the 10-year Intrerest Rate, which is regarded as the "anchor of global asset pricing", rose above 4.52%, and the intraday big pump 13 basis points, reaching the highest level since the end of May; The 2-year Treasury yield also rose more than 11 basis points to 4.35% on the day, the highest since November 22. The dollar index closed on Wednesday jumping to its highest level since 2022, breaking above $108. Source: Finance M Square Fed sets the tone of "slow rate cut", FedWatch estimates that it will cut interest rates only once next year With the release of the latest dot plot by the Federal Reserve, in addition to predicting that it will only drop by 2 yards in 2025, only 2 yards in 2026, and another 1 yard in 2027, the BenchmarkIntrerest Rate will be reduced to a neutral Intrerest Rate of 3% after 3 years (which neither stimulates nor limits the level of economic expansion). This means that the pace of interest rate cuts will slow significantly over the next three years, and the rate cuts will be less than previously expected. Source: CME Group The FedWatch tool shows that traders have complied with the Fed's latest forecasts and are betting that the Fed will cut rates only once next year and may pause until June, compared with three previous bets on 2025. Source: CME Group's FedWatch tool 10-year Treasury yield Intrerest rate may climb to 6% Since the Fed's policy Intrerest Rate is a key factor for the U.S. Treasury Yield Intrerest Rate, both the short-term and long-term U.S. Treasury yields, which are sensitive to the policy Intrerest Rate, exceeded 10 when the Fed's latest forecast dampened traders' expectations for more rate cuts A large increase in the basis point. In addition, most Fed officials will also revise the economic growth rate next year by 0.1%, the unemployment rate by 0.1%, and the inflation rate by 0.3%, plus the market estimates that Trump's tax and immigration policies after taking office next year may promote inflation to rebound sharply, and the rising US fiscal deficit may also continue to push up its US debt yield Intrerest Rate for 10 years. Bloomberg reported that T.Rowe Price, a top U.S. asset management firm, estimated in its latest report that the 10-year U.S. Treasury Intrerest Rate could first reach 5% in the first quarter of 2025, and then climb further to 6%, a new high in more than 20 years, as the U.S. fiscal distress worsens and Trump's policies lead to inflation. New Bond King: Gold and BTC Will Fluctuate Sideways in the Short Term According to financial news, Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital, known as the "new debt king", said in an interview with CNBC today that he believes that two Fed rate cuts next year are the "maximum", the probability of another rate cut in January is very small, and if energy prices soar sharply, further interest rate cuts may not be possible next year. He also noted that there are huge uncertainties in U.S. inflation, the fiscal deficit and the economy, so the Fed is unlikely to reach its 2% inflation target next year. In addition, he believes that the market's position on gold and BTC is likely to continue to increase, and both gold and BTC will fluctuate sideways in the short term. He also noted that he would never hold BTC until Trump took office. Related reports US think tank: BTC strategic reserve "cannot solve the US debt crisis" BTC is not so godly. Who's crazy selling US debt? Japan sold $61.9 billion in Q3, the highest in history, China reduced its holdings for three consecutive months. Has the bottom arrived? Trump wins the US debt and wants a big dump? Analyst: Both long and short factors, uncertainty deepens "The 10-year Intrerest rate of U.S. bonds rose above 4.5%! New debt king: Trump will not buy BTC before taking office" This article was first published in BlockTempo's "Dynamic Trend - The Most Influential Block Chain News Media".